Special Election! Coakley vs Brown

"Special Election Day" in Massachusetts!

I'll check spelling with Attny. Gen. Martha Coakley (D)...since she has probably gotten 100,000 emails about how to properly spell the name of her home state.

Today's battle pits Coakley vs. State Senator Scott Brown (R) and who has run an excellent campaign in what would normally be an almost automatic win for Dems...to retain the seat held by the late Sen. Edward (Teddy) Kennedy for 47 years...Libertarian candidate Joseph L. Kennedy (no relation), is polling in the single digits.

Despite having every advantage in ultra-blue Massachusetts...Coakley has run an incredibly inept campaign...little surprise! As a result of Brown's strong effort - Independents which play a huge role in the state's electoral politics...there is an excellent chance that Sen. Brown could steal what all experts considered a safe Democratic seat.

Ramifications are huge...potentially resulting in Sen. Brown becoming the crucial 41st Republican vote in the U.S. Senate...enabling Senate Republicans to block most Democratic/Obama legislation via the "filibuster"...at very least forcing changes and restraint upon a Democratic majority in both houses...and control of the White House. He could also kill Democratic versions of Health Care Reform, which are not viewed favorably in Massachusetts which already has "universal coverage".

Outside forces have raced to line up and do battle in Massachusetts...one thing is clear...the Democrats have already lost in many ways. The time, resources and debate raging in the state were all unexpected and costly to the Democratic Party.

Tonight's outcome will be closely watched, for good reason...voters may be sending a huge message tonight nationally. Look for the voter turnout to be much higher than the 30% initially expected...possibly 45-50% which is quite uncommon. If Massachusetts' large block of Independent voters...which have provided the state with several Republican Governors...turns out and votes for Brown as they appear to be leaning...the Democrats could be shocked!

Looks for Dems to do everything possible to keep the seat...to win "by hook or by crook" if they are able.

Not being very well-versed in the state's political demographics...not easy to predict this one but Scott Brown could win this race by several points. He is the winner regardless of the outcome...Coakley may win...but if she does...it will only be by virtue of "machine politics" and huge Democratic advantages in the state.

After seeing Independent voters in ultra-blue New Jersey upset the huge advantages of Gov. Corzine (D)...I'm actually inclined to believe there will be a huge upset in Massachusetts tonight.

I think Scott Brown will win by 2-3%.